Tag Archive for Nate Silver

Hillary’s Post Convention Bump Raises Her Prospects

Hillary Clinton in OC in 2005

I try not to pay attention to the presidential polls in the days following each party’s convention because the respective candidates get a bounce of sorts that elevates their status in the polls. After the GOP convention, Republican nominee Donald Trump had effectively tied the score and even Nate Silver’sThirtyEight.com site had Trump and Hillary…

The Math Still Doesn’t Work for Bernie

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Senator Bernie Sanders was an upset victor in the Indiana primary Tuesday;  he won the state by a margin of about 5% after spending nearly $2 million on TV advertising compared with Hillary Clinton spending nothing.  The margin of victory on delegates is something like 6.  Of the remaining primaries, there are not enough available pledged delegates…

The Math eliminates Bernie, Crowns Hillary; Time to Face Facts

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Tuesday’s 5 for 5 primary victory in Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Missouri and Illinois means unless there is a major implosion by Secretary Hillary Clinton, the Democratic nomination is all but wrapped up.  The Democratic Party is the first major party to offer a woman as a candidate for president.  For those who #FeelTheBern, the…

Yahoo Predicts Obama win in 2012

Let me preface this by saying itsa long way to November, but the political scientists and data geeks at Yahoo are calling the 2012 election for President Barack Obama. From this story on Yahoo: The Signal predicts that Barack Obama will win the presidential contest with 303 electoral votes to the Republican nominee’s 235. How…

Questions for Bill Killers

Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight.com posted these 20 questions aimed at those who advocate killing the health care bill now that Joe Lieberman has gutted the public option or anything that resembles one from it. They certainly are something to think about. 1. Over the medium term, how many other opportunities will exist to provide in…

Tea Party Crowd Size in DC Exaggerated

I really don’t understand the anger behind the Tea Party Protests; about 98percent of Americans who make less than $250,000 a year got a tax cut and people are somehow upset about this?  If they are anger about the swelling size of the national debt – projected by the White House at close to $9…