Hillary’s Post Convention Bump Raises Her Prospects

Hillary Clinton in OC in 2005

Hillary Clinton in OC in 2005

I try not to pay attention to the presidential polls in the days following each party’s convention because the respective candidates get a bounce of sorts that elevates their status in the polls. After the GOP convention, Republican nominee Donald Trump had effectively tied the score and even Nate Silver’sThirtyEight.com site had Trump and Hillary Clinton deadlocked at 269 electoral college votes a piece.  OJ Blog’s Greg Diamond wrote in depth on this as a doom and gloom outlook for the Democratic Party’s failure to nominate Senator Bernie Sanders instead of Secretary Clinton as part of his “weekend open thread” and in comments since then continues to insist bad tidings for the Democrats in November.

Hogwash,.

As we’re also almost a week past a successful Democratic Party convention, Clinton has roared back resuming leads in swing states that were in the Trump box a week ago.  She leads nationally too between five and 15 percentage points.

Clinton has the lead in Ohio, New Hampshire, Nevada, and Iowa; Silver even has her taking North Carolina, and, should everything stay the way it is through November, Clinton becomes the next President with 347 electoral college votes to Trump’s 191.  This has Trump whining “the system is rigged.”

Trump continues to self-destruct in a number of ways; the latest is he ejected a crying baby from one of his rallies.  There’s already an “ejectedbaby” twitter account to go after this with humor.  Trump is also claiming the NFL complained to him about the debate schedule which the League denies. And let’s not get started on Trump’s attack on the Khan family and his anti-Muslim rhetoric.

I’ll also point out that the man Diamond wanted so desperately to lead the Democratic Party still isn’t a Democrat, which doesn’t seem to bother Mr.Diamond who regularly shuns Democrats in favor of Republicans and Independents.  Senator Sanders will finish out his senate term as an independent.  I ask again, shouldn’t a Democrat lead the Democratic Party?  Sanders decision weakens his effort to keep his campaign alive through local election efforts.

Make no mistake, this election is a marathon and not a sprint.  And its a marathon with hurdles too.  Democrats must continue to work hard to elect Democrats this Fall. You can rest on November 9.

 

  2 comments for “Hillary’s Post Convention Bump Raises Her Prospects

  1. Cynthia mae Curran
    August 4, 2016 at 8:05 am

    I think Clinton will do better than her husband did in OC since the Demographics have changed since then and Trump’s a more horrible candidate compared to George H Bush or Bob Dole. The election between her in Trump in OC will be within 5 points. Romney was a more sane dude than Trump is and he won by 9 to 7 points while Trump at the most will win within 5 points. It also depends upon the Bernie Bros whether they will vote for Clinton or Stein.

  2. Cynthia mae Curran
    August 4, 2016 at 8:05 am

    I think Clinton will do better than her husband did in OC since the Demographics have changed since then and Trump’s a more horrible candidate compared to George H Bush or Bob Dole. The election between her in Trump in OC will be within 5 points. Romney was a more sane dude than Trump is and he won by 9 to 7 points while Trump at the most will win within 5 points. It also depends upon the Bernie Bros whether they will vote for Clinton or Stein.

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