Super Tuesday for Trump and Hillary


Super Tuesday is here and the good news is when the Wednesday morning sun rises, both major parties will have clear frontrunners that are almost impossible to stop.  For Bernie Sanders fans, celebrate his decisive win in Vermont which has far fewer people than OC.  Hillary wins every other state pretty decisively.

For Republicans, it will be almost impossible to stop Donald Trump.  Senator Eduardo Rafael Cruz win the state of Texas.  Trump wins everything else.  Senator Marco Rubio is left to ponder the wisdom of his “Trump has small hands” comment and must win every remaining state to have a chance to win.


Sunday’s New York Times had an amazing story about the Republicans awareness of their pending disaster.  It’s priceless:

Addressing a luncheon of Republican governors and donors in Washington on Feb. 19, he warned that Donald J. Trump’s increasingly likely nomination would be catastrophic, dooming the party in November. But Mr. Rove, the master strategist of George W. Bush’s campaigns, insisted it was not too late for them to stop Mr. Trump, according to three people present.

At a meeting of Republican governors the next morning, Paul R. LePage of Maine called for action. Seated at a long boardroom table at the Willard Hotel, he erupted in frustration over the state of the 2016 race, saying Mr. Trump’s nomination would deeply wound the Republican Party. Mr. LePage urged the governors to draft an open letter “to the people,” disavowing Mr. Trump and his divisive brand of politics. 

The suggestion was not taken up. Since then, Mr. Trump has only gotten stronger, winning two more state contests and collecting the endorsement of Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey.

What the story doesn’t really get into is how much damage a Trump nomination will hurt the Party’s downticket races in the US Senate and the House of Representatives to statewide races and even local elections. Frankly a Cruz nomination would be almost as bad.  And if Secretary Clinton selects a Latino running mate, it could be a historic election in terms of Latino turnout to vote for the Clinton ticket and vote against Donald Trump. And this brings me to last weekend’s CDP Convention in San Jose.

California AG Kamala Harris won about 78 percent of the delegates to Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez’s nearly 20 percent.  The result was not unexpected as Harris had what amounts to a home court advantage with the convention in Northern California. I hope she enjoyed her luxury suite at the Fairmont Hotel because several emails asking for donations of $5 came in via email almost immediately.

Kamala Harris in Laguna Beach, January 2016

Kamala Harris in Laguna Beach, January 2016

With Trump at the top of the tickets and California Republicans still lacking a strong Senate candidate, Sanchez should grab the second spot.  With strong Latino voter turnout in November and votes from moderate Democrats as well as Republicans who will surely be casting a vote against Harris, Sanchez has a much better chance of knocking off the frontrunner than Bernie Sanders or Marco Rubio do.  In short, the same voters likely to turn out in record numbers in November to vote against Trump are far more likely to vote for Sanchez.


For those who remember the 2010 election, Van Tran was supposed to retire Sanchez.  She crushed him easily having demonstrated herself to be a capable debater while Tran fumbled.   Never underestimate Loretta Sanchez.


  4 comments for “Super Tuesday for Trump and Hillary

  1. March 1, 2016 at 11:39 pm

    Bernie. Vermont. Oklahoma. Colorado. And Minnesota!

    The progressive choice still has a steep climb, but it was a lot better than your stingy prediction.

  2. Dan Chmielewski
    March 2, 2016 at 12:00 am

    Blame Nate Silver; Vermont, Colorado and Minnesota will vote for Hillary in November. Oklahoma goes for Trump in November. Bernie will never pass his platform through a divided Congress; Hillary can.

  3. March 2, 2016 at 1:34 pm

    Nothing about Tom Tait in your retort? You’re slipping.

  4. Dan Chmielewski
    March 2, 2016 at 11:09 pm

    I’m working douchebag; big tradeshow week…..hard work you and Greg know little about.

    Tait could have been more proactive about the KKK march in Anaheim, which is clearly not a city of kindness

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