Romney coming to Newport Beach Friday; His Road Ahead Looks Like McCain

Official GOP Presidential nominee Mitt Romney will be arriving in Newport Beach this Friday to raise money at the Balboa Bay club.  It will be his first visit to California’s OC GOP ATM as the official Republican presidential nominee.

According to the OC Register: “Entry prices range from $2,500 to attend a cocktail reception to $25,000, which includes four tickets to the cocktail reception, two tickets to the VIP host committee reception, and a photo for two donors with the Republican presidential nominee.”

Oh goody.

Since June is two days away, it’s not too early to take a peak at how the Obama-Romney match up works with the Electoral College Map. For Democrats, the news is pretty good.

Right now, the President holds 129 electoral college votes that are solid, 45 likely, and 81 that lean blue for 255 electoral college votes.  Governor Romney has 57 solid votes, 67 like and 37 leaning red for 161 electoral college votes.  The site suggests Oregon, Arizona, Missouri, Wisconsin, Ohio, Virgina, North and South Carolina, and Florida are in the toss up category.

President Obama leads in Oregon, Wisconsin, Ohio, Virginia and Florida with North Carolina as a dead heat.  Arizona, Missouri, and South Carolina are solidly in the Romney camp.  So even with North Carolina, Romney is at 206 electoral college votes.  The President racks up 332 votes, meaning another decisive victory for Obama.  If North Carolina swings blue again, it’s the same margin as 2008.

These numbers work on how things are in the swing states today.  But at this rate, Obama could still lose Florida and Ohio and still win the presidency.

Some factors still not in play; Romney’s running mate could change a few things but generally speaking, voters don’t go to the polls for the bottom of the ticket and for some of the GOP stars, it’s hard to shake the mantle of “loser” if you have your eye on the White House in 2016.

  2 comments for “Romney coming to Newport Beach Friday; His Road Ahead Looks Like McCain

  1. May 31, 2012 at 9:31 am

    “Just 19% of Likely U.S. Voters believe Romney and President Obama are the two best people running for the presidency.”

    World events between now and November will determine the winner in November.
    The question is, – Will America survive the ‘event’?

  2. robertstein
    June 3, 2012 at 11:59 am

    The bigger question is why have I not seen any news about Newport Beach billing the Romney campaign for “security,” as it did to Obama two weeks ago?

    If they did not charge the Romney campaign, we need to raise holy hell about this clearly partisan behavior on Nimby Beach’s government.

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