Why does Van Tran know how many ballots are outstanding when nobody else does?

Assemblyman Van Tran

One of the frustrations candidates have in close races after election day is that there is no real indication of how many ballots are outstanding in their races from the Registrar of Voters for at least 30 or more hours after the close of election night. The registrar has to determine which areas the vote by mail ballots belong to. that takes manual processing and time. I asked the Registrar of voters office how many ballots were outstanding in the 47th Congressional district on Wednesday afternoon; they couldn’t give me an answer. The OC Register reported, “Election officials said it could be Thursday before they even know how many ballots remain to be counted in the 47th Congressional District race.”

So imagine my surprise when I learned that Van Tran had announced on Vietnamese radio Wednesday morning that there were 30,000 outstanding ballots in his race. At the close of election night, the Registrar reports that 281,015 ballots remained to be counted. The 30,000 number Tran claims belong to the 47th district represents 10.68% of the outstanding ballots. From what I can tell, Tran is guessing on the numbers, based partly on the percentage of total returns for the county that the 47th makes up.

But the suspicious part of me thinks that number is more reflective of Tran’s estimate of the number of late absentee ballots his campaign (allegedly) helped illegally dump at polling places across the district. There is (allegedly) a long history of Tran’s team gathering ballots from voters, and delivering them for them to the polls. This is of course illegal, but that hasn’t stopped this funny business over the years Tran has held office. 

My suggestion to everyone following the numbers as they come in over the next several days, believe only the official numbers that come out of the Registrar of Voters office. Anything else, particularly what ever crosses Van Tran’s lips, is just plan B.S.

  13 comments for “Why does Van Tran know how many ballots are outstanding when nobody else does?

  1. cook
    November 4, 2010 at 10:57 am

    You take how many people voted in person and compare to the number of VBM ballots dropped off and how many of the in person ballots were BLUE and WHITE pro,s.

    I figured there is about 20,000 uncounted ballots in the 47th on the low side. And very well could be 30,000 left to count.

    This congressional district is still in play, with only a 1,000 vote lead, 20,000 or more to count and a big percentage of Latino voters not voting on Tuesday is going to keep this one interesting for a week or more.

    “late absentee ballots Illegally dump at polling places” Any proof? (of course not)

    If you don’t trust the VBM ballots system, then asked for it to be stopped and have every voter go to their polling place to vote in person.

  2. Northcountystorm
    November 4, 2010 at 12:42 pm

    The lead is 5,600, not 1,000. Not all of these are VBM’s–there are a large batch of provisionals, a large percentage of which are probably Latino. Van’t not going to get the 65% or so he needs to win. His only chance to be a congressman rests with the reapportionment commission for the 2012 election.

    As for VBM ballot system, I think it works fine. There probably are a few problems but like the claims of illegals voting, little or no proof. Wouldn’t hurt to ensure the polling plae officials are on the lookout for people bringing in multiple AB’s but I really don’t think its a widespread problem.

  3. cook
    November 4, 2010 at 3:50 pm

    5600, you are right, I do know where i got 1000 from.

  4. Howard be my name
    November 4, 2010 at 4:43 pm

    “You take how many people voted in person and compare to the number of VBM ballots dropped off and how many of the in person ballots were BLUE and WHITE pro,s.”

    Ok. But where do you get any of those numbers?

    Chris is right: Tran is just MSU (making stuff up).

  5. cook
    November 4, 2010 at 9:30 pm

    Afer the polls close, voters have the right to watch and see what the final numbers are at each poll site.

  6. patrick
    November 5, 2010 at 1:21 pm

    Funny,

    Watch what Jerry and the rest of the fools like Loretta do to our what was, wonderful State, Now, CA is the laughing stock of the nation. As a small business owner i’ll not support the way CA operates and I’ll buy all my manufacturing materials over seas, it’s about the only way to compete with other states. BTW, Dumbo Liberal Dems; Did you here about that big Solar Power panel plant up in Fremont,CA that opened up in 09″ with a big cerimony with Jerry Brown and his goons and then, just closed down last month? because they could not afford to stay in business and compete because of the stupid E regulations pushed on their solar panel manufacturing in CA, Green Energy, Yeah right, you fools believe anything, Dumb Liberals!

  7. patrick
    November 5, 2010 at 1:30 pm

    No Really, CA is going to get what it deserves, you Bunch of Dumb Liberals! But i’m really not to mad because i’ll be fine, hope you all like high unemployment, no jobs or industry, high taxes and high everything else, but i’ll be okay because i’ll make sure my company makes a good profit, while you all squirm around in the mess you created, funny stuff.

    Enjoy!

  8. Howard be my name
    November 5, 2010 at 1:36 pm

    Um, Patrick. Jerry Brown was only elected governor 3 days ago and hasn’t taken office yet. How is it that he’s to blame for California being “the laughing stock of the nation,” high unemployment, no jobs, and everything else on your laundry list?

  9. November 5, 2010 at 1:45 pm

    Patrick – congrats on your successful proofreading service and integrated spell check technology.

    • Howard be my name
      November 5, 2010 at 10:06 pm

      Yeah, Dan, I didn’t want to mention that. Kinda seemed like beating a dead horse.

  10. someone
    November 5, 2010 at 7:31 pm

    hold the horses just wait and see what happen. BTW, if you guys like to buy laptop made in USA. This would cost you $10,000 dollars considering China labor is $100 dollars a month and U.S. labor at min. is $1500 so let’s bring the job back and let see if your can facebook or twitter. Ha ha……….. Yes do that go JERRY. Can’t you guys face reality? While doing that Jerry can kick out illegal immigrants and let the hard working American wash dishes and I’d like to see you all mowing my lawn and trimming my tree. Go JERRY…..

  11. cook
    November 6, 2010 at 12:56 pm

    The smile on the faces of liberals’ and progressives’ will be short lived, when they realize the election of the 70’s Jerry Brown, for the good old days, is reactionary.

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