One of the frustrations candidates have in close races after election day is that there is no real indication of how many ballots are outstanding in their races from the Registrar of Voters for at least 30 or more hours after the close of election night. The registrar has to determine which areas theÂ vote by mail ballots belong to. that takes manual processing and time. I asked the Registrar of voters office how many ballots were outstanding in the 47th Congressional district on Wednesday afternoon; they couldn’t give me an answer. The OC Register reported, “Election officials said it could be Thursday before they even know how many ballots remain to be counted in the 47th Congressional District race.”
So imagine my surpriseÂ when I learned that Van Tran had announced on Vietnamese radio Wednesday morning that there were 30,000 outstanding ballots in his race. At the close of election night, the Registrar reports that 281,015 ballots remained to be counted. The 30,000 number Tran claims belong to the 47th district represents 10.68% of the outstanding ballots. From what I can tell, Tran is guessing on the numbers, based partly on the percentage of total returns for the county that the 47th makes up.
But the suspicious part of me thinks that number is more reflective ofÂ Tran’s estimate of the number ofÂ late absentee ballots his campaign (allegedly)Â helped illegally dump at polling places across the district. There is (allegedly) a long history of Tran’s team gathering ballots from voters, and delivering them for them to the polls. This is of course illegal, but that hasn’t stopped this funny business over the years Tran has held office.Â
My suggestion to everyone following the numbers as they come in over the next several days, believe only the official numbers that come out of the Registrar of Voters office. Anything else, particularly what ever crosses Van Tran’s lips, is just plan B.S.