We received this update from Melissa Fox this morning:
“I’m very proud and grateful to be able to share with you that California List has officially endorsed by candidacy for the California Assembly for the 70th Assembly District.
California List works to help Democratic women incumbents facing tough re-elections, recruits strong candidates to run for promising open or viable seats, and connects candidates and donors throughout California.
In addition to the California List endorsement, I am also proud to have received the endorsements of the non-partisan National Women’s Political Caucus and the non-partisan Women in Leadership.
Each of these groups understand that it is especially important now, as the economic crisis has unleashed a backlash against the hard-fought legal, political, and economic gains that women have made, to elect women who are committed to fighting for reproductive rights, heath care, equal pay and equal rights.
The California List endorsement is also a recognition that this race is winnable, with your help. If you have not already done so, I hope you will join our campaign, and make a contribution, in whatever amount, so that I can fight for our values in the California Assembly.
If California List really thinks that a Democrat can win this race, then they aren’t a very credible organization. Tht’s like saying a Reublican can win in the bay area or most parts of LA. It’s not going to happen.
Here are the facts: President Obama won the 70th Assembly District by 8,721 votes. Prop 8 won by less than 1% and Prop 4 (parental notification) lost by 2%.
Based on these facts from recent elections, I would say that a Democrat running an active and smart campaign can win in this Assembly District, especially since the Republicans and the local teabagger/birther crazies will push their candidate further to the wacko right, and further from the moderate politics and pro-education values of the District’s voters.
But don’t pass this information on to Republicans; it’s better to let them keep their heads in the sand.