DeVore Gets no Love from DailyKos Survey on Senate Race

On the day he announced significant endorsements frommany of California’s elected Republicans for the 2010 US Senate race, State Re. Chuck DeVore gets no love from a commissioned survey on the upcoming 2010 Senate election.

A Research 2000 California poll of voters , commissioned by the popular DailyKos blog, seeking opinions about a Senate race between Senator Barbara Boxer and Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger showed Boxer with a 9 point lead.  Chuck DeVore is mentioned in the comments — exactly once.  And the commenter predicted DeVore would beat the Governor in a closed GOP primary only to have Boxer crush him in the general election.  No surprise as Chuck is to the right of Atilla the Hun.

devorefeb2aweb by flap.

Here”s the survey:

CALIFORNIA POLL RESULTS – JANUARY 2009
                                                                 
The Research 2000 California Poll was conducted from January 5 through January 7, 2009. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.


SAMPLE FIGURES:

Men                  287 (48%)
Women                313 (52%)

Democrats            263 (44%)
Republicans          198 (33%)
Independents/Other   139 (23%)

White                390 (65%)
Black                 54 (9%)
Hispanic             102 (17%)
Asian                 35 (6%)
Other                 19 (3%)

18-29                101 (20%)
30-44                181 (30%)
45-59                192 (33%)
60+                  126 (17%)

Northern              37 (6%)
Central              108 (18%)
LA County            144 (24%)
Bay                  126 (21%)
Southern             185 (31%)
QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Arnold Schwarzenegger? (If favorable or unfavorable ask if it is very or not):

                 VERY FAV       FAV        UNFAV     VERY UNFAV    NO OPINION

ALL                 10%         32%         37%         14%          7%

                   FAV         UNFAV       NO OPINION

ALL                 42%         51%          7%

MEN                 45%         49%          6%
WOMEN               39%         53%          8%

DEMOCRATS           31%         64%          5%
REPUBLICANS         60%         31%          9%
INDEPENDENTS        38%         55%          7%

18-29               38%         55%          7%
30-44               41%         52%          7%
45-59               43%         50%          7%
60+                 46%         48%          6%
QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barbara Boxer? (If favorable or unfavorable ask if it is very or not):

                 VERY FAV       FAV        UNFAV     VERY UNFAV    NO OPINION

ALL                 12%         36%         35%         11%          6%

                   FAV         UNFAV       NO OPINION

ALL                 48%         46%          6%

MEN                 45%         50%          5%
WOMEN               51%         42%          7%

DEMOCRATS           66%         29%          5%
REPUBLICANS         27%         69%          4%
INDEPENDENTS        45%         45%         10%

18-29               51%         43%          6%
30-44               50%         45%          5%
45-59               47%         47%          6%
60+                 43%         49%          8%
QUESTION: If 2010 election for U.S. Senate were held today for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Barbara Boxer the Democrat and Arnold Schwarzeneggerthe Republican?

                   BOXER   SCHWARZENEGGER  UNDECIDED  

ALL                 49%         40%         11%

MEN                 42%         48%         10%
WOMEN               56%         32%         12%

DEMOCRATS           80%         11%          9%
REPUBLICANS         13%         77%         10%
INDEPENDENTS        43%         42%         15%

WHITE               40%         48%         12%
BLACK               83%          7%         10%
HISPANIC            63%         29%          8%
ASIAN               58%         35%          7%
OTHER               47%         43%         10%

18-29               52%         36%         12%
30-44               51%         39%         10%
45-59               48%         41%         11%
60+                 46%         43%         11%

NORTHERN            50%         37%         13%
CENTRAL             42%         48%         10%
LA COUNTY           56%         33%         11%
BAY                 62%         29%          9%
SOUTHERN            39%         48%         13%

Here’s Chuck’s list of endorsements:

Assembly (not including DeVore himself)
Mike Villines
Anthony Adams
Joel Anderson
Bill Berryhill
Tom Berryhill
Sam Blakeslee
Connie Conway
Paul Cook
Mike Duvall
Bill Emmerson
Jean Fuller
Ted Gaines
Martin Garrick
Danny Gilmore
Curt Hagman
Diane Harkey
Kevin Jeffries
Stephen Knight
Jeff Miller
Dan Logue
Brian Nestande
Jim Nielsen
Cameron Smyth
Audra Strickland
Van Tran

Senate (6)
Jeff Denham
Bob Dutton
Bob Huff
George Runner
Mimi Walters
Mark Wyland

  2 comments for “DeVore Gets no Love from DailyKos Survey on Senate Race

  1. Steffen Malu
    January 8, 2009 at 5:40 pm

    Hi,

    I have a simple question. Could Rep. DeVore possibly raise the amount of money that Boxer can to be competitive with her? I’ve heard that Sen. Boxer is a prodigious fundraiser.

    P.S. I sooo love this blog, even though I live way up north in Merced County.

    Steffen

  2. Bladerunner
    January 13, 2009 at 1:49 am

    The simple answer is, no.

Comments are closed.