Hot off the press! PPIC has its new election poll out! Overall, we have good news to help us breathe easier. Still, we can NOT become complacent!
Obama (D) 56%
McCain (R) 33%
Prop 8 (marriage ban)
Prop 4 (mandated parental notification of teen abortion)
Prop 11 (redistricting reform)
The bad news: The race on Prop 8 has clearly narrowed, as the marriage ban is only losing by single digits (as opposed to the 14% loss in the last PPIC poll). Meanwhile, Prop 4 remains VERY tight.
The good news: Obama’s WAY UP and Democrats are revved up to vote, so hopefully the Democratic enthusiasm trickles downballot to the initiatives. Also, PPIC puts into dispute Survey USA’s recent polls showing Prop 8 narrowly winning. And fortunately, the “Yes” numbers for both Props 4 & 8 are below “the 50% barrier” that’s most often necessary for initiatives to cross in October polls to pass in November. Meanwhile the undecideds are still high enough on Prop 11, so the fate of that initiative is really in doubt now.
Conclusion: PLEASE, PLEASE DON’T LET UP! While PPIC’s new poll gives us some reassurance & more breathing room, we still can NOT afford to be complacent! While Prop 8 is down, the margin is still fairly close. Oh yes, and Prop 4 is still slightly up (though nicely below 50%).
There’s a whole lot that we must do here in California to stop the right-wing assault on women’s reproductive rights, protect teen safety, protect marriage equality, and ensure equal rights for all… So let’s get to work!