March, April, May

March: Democrat Bill Foster wins the seat that Illinois Republican Dennis Hastert has held for 20 years. Since the district’s creation in 1959 it has continuously been in Republican hands.

April: In Mississippi’s 1st District, in which Bush received 62% of the vote in 2004, Democrat Travis Childers forces Republican Greg Davis into a runoff election. Childers took a majority of the votes, shocking political observers, but no candidate won a simple majority in the six-person race. On May 13, it will be down to two.

May: Democrat Don Cazayoux wins election to the 6th Louisiana Congressional District, the first Democrat to hold this seat in 33 years.

You don’t need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows.