Ã¢â‚¬Å“The polls were all over the place, so I was prepared for anything,Ã¢â‚¬Â the Santa Ana resident said, then noted neither of the two Democratic frontrunners has been able to pull ahead yet. Ã¢â‚¬Å“Voters everywhere Ã¢â‚¬â€ Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina Ã¢â‚¬Â¦ and soon, Florida and California Ã¢â‚¬Â¦ everybody is deciding for themselves. ItÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s not looking like a coronation. WeÃ¢â‚¬â„¢re in it for the long haul.Ã¢â‚¬Â
Yeah, yeah, Martin Wisckol quoted me. But hold on, I wasn’t the only one that our fearless local political reporter extraordinaire spoke with to get some reaction to what happened in South Carolina yesterday for the fantastic All Things Presidential blog on OCRegister.com. Follow me after the flip for more on what local liberal politicos are thinking about Barack Obama’s big win in the Palmetto State.
Here’s the rest of what I had to say:
Like many others, [Andrew] Davey is looking forward to Feb. 5 for a major indication of whatÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s really going to happen.
So far, it looks pretty good for (Clinton) in California,Ã¢â‚¬Â he said. Ã¢â‚¬Å“WeÃ¢â‚¬â„¢re seeing a lot of Latinos come in to the phone banks and making calls in Spanish, and people are coming and making calls in Vietnamese.Ã¢â‚¬Â
And the odds of an open convention?
Ã¢â‚¬Å“I donÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t like to make odds, but anything could happen.Ã¢â‚¬Â
If you can’t really get what I’m saying, let me give you some context. I’m talking about our amazing group of Democratic activists for Hillary here in OC. We have such an amazingly diverse group of supporters, including Latinos, Asian-Americans, LGBT people, union workers, and so many more. Just come into one of our local offices some time, and you’ll see for yourself all the momentum we have here in Southern California.
But anyways, enough of me and my shameless Hill promotion… Let’s see what my colleague Chris Prevatt had to say about the South Carolina results:
Ã¢â‚¬Å“[…] The top two candidates have spent a fortune getting to this point. IÃ¢â‚¬â„¢m not sure that there is much in the way of donors that are not tapped out to either campaign. The key for everyone in the Super Tuesday Primaries will be grass roots financial support. I find it interesting that with 0% of the precincts reporting Obama was projected as the winner with 70% of the vote by the major media outlets. They showed Clinton at 21% and Edwards at 9%.
Ã¢â‚¬Å“Now with 86% reporting we have Obama at 54% Clinton at 27%, and Edwards at 19%. What I think these numbers show that this is a three person race. With more than 60% of the turnout women, it looks to me like Clinton clearly does not have a lock on the Ã¢â‚¬Å“womanÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s vote.Ã¢â‚¬Â With none of the candidates having a clear majority of delegates, I think weÃ¢â‚¬â„¢re looking at a brokered Democratic Convention.”
Ã¢â‚¬Å“The fact that the major media has failed to mention Edwards on a consistent basis (The Register to some level being an exception to that rule) people have been left with the impression that there are only two viable candidates. That simply is not true. The race for the Democratic nomination is a 50 state process. If no candidate emerges from that process as the clear choice with a clear majority of delegates under their control, the delegates may be forced to select a consensus nominee who may not be either of the front-runners. John Edwards is still in this race and absent a true front-runner, can still become the nominee. At a minimum he may be the deciding factor in who that nominee will be.”
OK, so Chris thinks Edwards still has a shot despite his loss yesterday. What does our fine Democratic Party Chair Frank Barbaro have to say?
Ã¢â‚¬Å“ItÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s definitely a confidence builder for Team Barack. It should carry some momentum with it, and it should help turnout for Obama on Super Tuesday,Ã¢â‚¬Â said Frank Barbaro, chairman of the Democratic Party of Orange County. Barbaro has not publicly endorsed any candidate, and has helped raised money for the top three hopefuls.
Speaking of which, how much longer can John Edwards hang on?
Ã¢â‚¬Å“A lot of people are saying this is EdwardsÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ Waterloo, but others like Wylie (Aitken), say that things are getting divisive between Hillary and Obama, and he is going to stay in. He becomes the the compromise guy and a lot of people think heÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s the most electable.Ã¢â‚¬Â
OK, so it’s clear that all of us see something different out of what just happened in South Carolina. So which of us makes more sense to you? What are you thinking about the state of the Presidential Election now?
Do you think South Carolina just gave Obama all the momentum he needs to ultimately win the nomination? Or do you think Hillary still has enough of an advantage in enough of the states voting on February 5 and on later dates to come back and win? And what does Edwards do after losing his native state? Where does he go from here?
And more importantly, what are you thinking about beyond the simple horse race? What do you think of all the media coverage of the campaign in the last week? Have they been spending too much time on “the horse race” and not enough time on real issues? Have they been over hyping charges of “mudslinging” and “race baiting” while ignoring the real issues, like Iraq, health care, and the economy, that real voters actually care about?
Go ahead and check out what Martin Wisckol has up at the All Things Presidential blog, then go ahead and come back so we can discuss what just happened in South Carolina. What really happened? And where do we go from here?
Let’s talk about it. 🙂