There has been a lot of buzz, and even a little bit of Republican grumbling about the speed at which the Democratic Party of Orange County and organized labor have managed to unify their efforts behind a single candidate, Tom Umberg, in the First District Board of SupervisorÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s Special Election on February 6th. Filing for the contest closed on December 26th, the Orange County Central Labor Council endorsed Umberg on the 27th, followed by The Democratic Party of Orange County, Association of Orange County Deputy Sheriffs and Orange County Professional Firefighters later in the day. The Orange County Employees Association announced its endorsement on December 28th. In very short order the last candidate to pull papers to enter the race, had wrapped up the endorsements of organized labor and the Democratic Party in Orange County. While the Republican leadership was busy engaging in a massive pissing contest, the democrats and labor unified in two short days and started to get down to work.
The OC Democrats have hired several staff members to strengthen and guide a field operation and developed the infrastructure to launch a well coordinated campaign for the voice they believe should speak for the 1st District. Organized labor has developed its plan of action and divided the work up among its coalition members, focusing primarily on getting union members and their voting family members out to vote for Umberg.
There has been a lot of talk about who takes votes, from whom. Do the three Vietnamese candidates split their votes and weaken their influence? Does Benny Diaz take more votes away from Bustamante or Umberg, does Lupe Moreno hurt Bustamante more than Diaz, will Brett Franklin take votes away from Umberg and Bustamante, or for that matter what is the impact of having several well funded Republicans (6 out of 7) do to the Republican vote? What impact will Kermit Marsh have on all of this, he believes, he’ll make a very strong showing in Westminster and Midway City. For that matter, will Mark Rosen be able to garner enough votes to squeak out a win, or will he keep just enough votes to prevent Umberg from winning.
Does your head hurt yet? Mine Does.
These are all great academic questions that political junkies, like many of use are, just love to debate till weÃ¢â‚¬â„¢re blue in the face. But the fact is that it doesnÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t matter who takes votes from whom, but rather who gets the most votes. It really wonÃ¢â‚¬â„¢t matter how much mail fills up the 1st District mail boxes over the next few weeks. What will matter is whose voters turn in their absentee ballots and who turns out their voters to the polls.
There are two things that make getting out the vote happen; organization and boots (on the phones and on the ground). Given the organization and people (boots) that the Democrats and organized labor have focused on one candidate, I believe this contest leans strongly in UmbergÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s favor. What Tom Umberg has, in addition to the Democratic and labor support is name ID coupled with a core base of supporters larger than any of the other candidates
So to my fellow Liberals and Democrats I have to warn you…
DO NOT SIT ON YOUR COLLECTIVE ASSETS AND ASSUME THIS RACE IS OVER.
Contact the Democratic Party of Orange County and Join the Fighting Dems in supporting TOM UMBERG for SUPERVISOR. Your help is needed to work the phones and walk precincts to get out the vote for Tom. To volunteer call the Orange County Democratic Party HQ at (714) 835-5158 or send an email to email@example.com. If youÃ¢â‚¬â„¢ve got a few bucks to toss TomÃ¢â‚¬â„¢s way that is appreciated too. To contribute to Tom’s campaign, visit the Umberg for Supervisor website at www.umberg4supervisor.com.